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Pay Trajectories for Younger and Older Workers in Europe figure

Pay Trajectories for Younger and Older Workers in Europe

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As the workforce in Europe and the US has grown older, the average wages of older workers have risen more rapidly than those of their younger colleagues. This seems inconsistent with a simple supply-and-demand analysis, which would suggest that as the supply of older workers grows, their wages should fall; it raises the question of what other factors could be responsible for the growing age-pay gap.

In Countries for Old Men: An Analysis of the Age-Pay Gap (NBER Working Paper 32340), Nicola Bianchi and Matteo Paradisi analyze administrative data covering 38 million workers at 3.7 million firms in Italy and Germany,…

From the NBER Bulletin on Health

Decision-Making by Medical Surrogates for End-of-Life Patients Primary tabs

Decision-Making by Medical Surrogates for End-of-Life Patients

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As the population ages, the need for surrogate decision-makers for patients near the end of their lives is rising. When hospitalized older adults are unable to actively participate in decisions about their care, surrogates must make choices, often with limited information. Advance care planning with written directives may improve surrogate decision-making, but directives have limitations: preferences may change after completion, directions may not apply to the ultimate situation, and there can be communication challenges between the surrogates and care teams.

In How Do Surrogates Make Treatment Decisions for Patients with Dementia? An Experimental Survey Study (NBER Working Paper 32116), researchers Lauren Hersch NicholasKenneth M. LangaScott D. Halpern, and Mario Macis examined...

From the NBER Bulletin on Retirement and Disability

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in SSDI Entry and Health figure

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in SSDI Entry and Health

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In a new study of Racial and Ethnic Disparities in SSDI Entry and Health (NBER RDRC Center Paper NB23-04)Colleen CareyNolan H. Miller, and David Molitor document significant racial and ethnic differences in the use of Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI). Non-Hispanic Blacks and Native Americans enter the SSDI program at the highest rates relative to their share of the population while non-Hispanic Asians enter at the lowest rates. Average health status, measured by medical expenditure…

From the NBER Reporter: Research, program, and conference summaries

Unemployment in Informal Labor Markets in Developing Countries Figure

Unemployment in Informal Labor Markets in Developing Countries

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Developing countries typically exhibit low rates of rural wage employment. For example, in India, male workers whose primary source of earnings is wage labor report working on only 46 percent of days per year. Bangladesh has a similarly low 55 percent rate of employment among landless males, and the rates are even lower in sub-Saharan Africa.

What do these low employment rates mean? One possibility is that they reflect extremely high involuntary unemployment. Alternatively, the rates could be an outcome of reasonably well functioning labor markets in which workers are simply choosing self-employment, which tends to be high in poor countries. These two possibilities have drastically different implications for understanding how well labor markets work and what role, if…

From the NBER Bulletin on Entrepreneurship

 Immigration Policy and Entrepreneurs’ Choice of Startup Location figure

Immigration Policy and Entrepreneurs’ Choice of Startup Location

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Immigrants play a significant role in the entrepreneurial landscape. In the United States, immigrants are 80 percent more likely to start businesses than native-born Americans. More than half of America's billion-dollar startup companies trace their roots to immigrant founders. There is limited research, however, on the factors that influence immigrants' decisions about where to locate their startup businesses. 

In The Effect of Immigration Policy on Founding Location Choice: Evidence from Canada's Start-up Visa Program (NBER Working Paper 31634), Saerom Lee and Britta Glennon investigate the impact of Canada's Start-up Visa Program on US-based…

Featured Working Papers

Elimination of the section of US trade law that allows up to $800 in imports per person per day to enter the country duty-free, with minimal customs requirements, would reduce aggregate welfare by about $12 billion per year and disproportionately hurt lower-income and minority consumers, Pablo D. Fajgelbaum  and Amit Khandelwal find.


 

Compared to census tracts that were scheduled to receive a Starbucks but did not, tracts with no other coffee shops that received a Starbucks saw more than a five percent increase in startups per year over the subsequent seven years, Jinkyong ChoiJorge Guzman, and Mario L. Small find. There was no effect of opening a Starbucks in census tracts with prior cafés. 

When the Fed funds rate rises, deposits flow out faster from banks that are “digital brokers” than from traditional banks. The deposit franchise values of the former group also rise less than those of the latter group when interest rates rise, according to an analysis by Naz KoontTano SantosLuigi Zingales. The reduced value of the deposit franchise can explain why Silicon Valley Bank was insolvent before its bank run.

While the return to homeownership during the twentieth century varied considerably across US cities, the return component from the “rental value” of owning exceeded homeowners’ capital gains in every city, research by Ronan C. LyonsAllison ShertzerRowena Gray, and David N. Agorastos shows.

Time pressure on judges in Mexican labor courts leads to mistakes, but indexing case files to help those judges quickly find relevant information can reduce successful appeals in complex cases by half and result in shorter, more on-point opinions, a field study by Andrew CaplinAndrei Gomberg, and Joyce Sadka reveals.

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Research Spotlights

NBER researchers discuss their work on subjects of wide interest to economists, policymakers, and the general public. Recordings of more-detailed presentations, keynote addresses, and panel discussions at NBER conferences are available on the Lectures page.

Research Spotlight
An investigation of the role of anonymity in online communication and social media posting.    ...
Research Spotlight
In recognition of Black History Month, Research Associate Conrad Miller of the University of California, Berkeley,...
Research Spotlight
In recognition of Black History Month, Research Associate Trevon Logan of The Ohio State University, who directs the...
Research Spotlight
A growing fraction of US medical care is delivered through integrated healthcare systems that include many medical...
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