National Bureau of Economic Research
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Hospital Acquisitions of Physician Practices Generate Price Increases Without Evidence of Quality Improvements
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In recent years, there has been a dramatic increase in hospital acquisitions of physician practices that has transformed the structure of healthcare delivery across the United States. While antitrust enforcement has typically focused on horizontal mergers between direct competitors, there has been less regulatory scrutiny of these vertical or complementary acquisitions despite their potential impact on competition and pricing.
In Are Hospital Acquisitions of Physician Practices Anticompetitive? (NBER Working Paper 34039), Zack Cooper, Stuart V. Craig, Aristotelis Epanomeritakis, Matthew Grennan, Joseph R. Martinez, Fiona Scott Morton, and Ashley T. Swanson examine whether practice acquisitions...
From the NBER Bulletin on Health
Pain Management and the Opioid Epidemic
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Death rates due to drug poisonings began to surge in the US in the mid-1990s, marking the emergence of an epidemic that has persisted for three decades. The health consequences have been stark, with annual deaths exceeding 100,000 since 2021.
In Prescription for Disaster: The SSDI Rate, Pain, and Prescribing Practices (NBER Working Paper 34265), William N. Evans and Ethan M. J. Lieber examine characteristics of counties in 1990—prior to the surge—that predict the county-level severity of opioid deaths after 2000. After considering a wide range of potential determinants, they focus on one factor: the percentage of the working-age population...
From the NBER Reporter: Research, program, and conference summaries
Global Value Chains: A Firm Level Approach
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Global value chains have come under severe scrutiny in the past few years. Pandemic-era shortages, geopolitical concerns, and new industrial strategies have all revived an old worry: have firms become too dependent on a handful of foreign suppliers and assembly hubs? Should governments use policy tools such as tariffs or subsidies to promote domestic manufacturing employment and capabilities?
The heart of this debate centers around a firm’s decisions about whether and how to participate in global value chains: which countries will supply its components, where should it open assembly plants, and what foreign markets shall it enter to sell its goods?
Our research starts from the premise that the right unit of analysis for understanding this system is not the country or the industry, but the firm…
From the NBER Bulletin on Entrepreneurship
Underwriting Based on Cash Flow Helps Younger Entrepreneurs Access Credit
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Younger entrepreneurs are disadvantaged in small business loan markets because lenders rely heavily on personal credit scores, which favor long histories of repaying debt. In Modernizing Access to Credit for Younger Entrepreneurs: From FICO to Cash Flow (NBER Working Paper 33367), researchers Christopher M. Hair, Sabrina T. Howell, Mark J. Johnson, and Siena Matsumoto document this fact and show that younger entrepreneurs benefit from underwriting that augments personal credit scores (like FICO) with cash flow data. They analyze comprehensive…
Featured Working Papers
Procyclical stocks, those whose cash flows rise with expected GDP growth, earn premia ranging from 3.4 to 8.8 percent annually relative to countercyclical stocks, according to William N. Goetzmann, Akiko Watanabe, and Masahiro Watanabe.
Todd D. Gerarden, Bryan K. Bollinger, Kenneth Gillingham, and Daniel Xu estimated that over the 2012–2020 period, US tariffs on solar panels generated $1.4 billion in government revenue and a loss of consumer surplus of $6.9 billion and environmental benefits of $148.4 billion.
Providing free or highly-discounted contraception to low-income women at Title X clinics in the US increased long-acting contraceptive use by 217 percent and reduced pregnancies by 16 percent and abortions by 12 percent over two years, according to Martha J. Bailey, Emilia Brito Rebolledo, Deniz Gorgulu, Kelsey Figone, Vanessa W. Lang, Alexa Prettyman, and Vanessa Dalton.
Households used approximately one-third of their COVID-19 stimulus checks to pay down debt; the marginal propensity to repay debt was largest among those with low net wealth-to-income ratios, according to Gizem Koşar, Davide Melcangi, Laura Pilossoph, and David G. Wiczer.
Vadim Elenev, Tim Landvoigt, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh define the “austerity threshold” as the debt-to-GDP level above which the government must raise fiscal surpluses to ensure debt stability and estimate that for the US, this threshold is 189 percent of GDP.
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