The Local Origins of Business Formation: Entry as a Two-Stage Process
Working Paper 34881
DOI 10.3386/w34881
Issue Date
The business entry literature typically observes firms only at the first hire. We provide a new perspective using linked administrative microdata tracking the universe of U.S. business applications and their transition into employer firms. We model entry as a two-stage process: pursuit of a business idea (proxied by a business application) and implementation (transition). Results show these margins are distinct and associate differently with local conditions. While both margins matter, high-startup locations are characterized by high application intensity, whereas low-startup locations exhibit low transition rates, suggesting geographic disparities in entry arise from different dynamics at each stage of the entrepreneurial process.
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Copy CitationEmin Dinlersoz, Timothy Dunne, John C. Haltiwanger, and Veronika Penciakova, "The Local Origins of Business Formation: Entry as a Two-Stage Process," NBER Working Paper 34881 (2026), https://doi.org/10.3386/w34881.Download Citation