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NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
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One in a Million: Field Experiments on Perceived Closeness of the Election and Voter Turnout

Alan Gerber, Mitchell Hoffman, John Morgan, Collin Raymond

NBER Working Paper No. 23071
Issued in January 2017, Revised in June 2017

---- Acknowledgments ----

We thank Jason Abaluck, Stefano DellaVigna, Fred Finan, Sean Gailmard, Don Green, Jennifer Green, Gianmarco Leon, Yusufcan Masatlioglu, Ted Miguel, Ismael Mourifie, David Myatt, Matthew Rabin, Gautam Rao, Jesse Shapiro, Richard Thaler, Francesco Trebbi, Rob Van Houweling, Leonard Wantchekon, and seminar participants at Berkeley (political economy seminar and psychology & economics seminar), CIFAR, Florida State, Ohlstadt, Oxford, Pitt Behavioral Models of Politics Conference, Princeton, SITE (Experimental Economics), Toronto, Toronto Rotman, and Yale for helpful comments. We are grateful to Dan Biggers for his guidance on the 2014 experiment. David Arnold, Christina Chew, Sandrena Frischer, Hongjia Hu, Faisal Ibrahim, Jeffrey Kong, Will Kuffel, Cara Lew, Elena Litvinova, Melina Mattos, Kevin Rapp, Nick Roth, and Irina Titova provided outstanding research assistance. Financial support from the National Science Foundation, the Haas School of Business, the Center for Equitable Growth, the Burch Center, and the Social Science and Humanities Research Council of Canada is gratefully acknowledged. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research.

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