The Effects of Political Advertising on Facebook and Instagram before the 2020 US Election
We study the effects of social media political advertising by randomizing subsets of 36,906 Facebook users and 25,925 Instagram users to have political ads removed from their news feeds for six weeks before the 2020 US presidential election. We show that most presidential ads were targeted toward parties’ own supporters and that fundraising ads were most common. On both Facebook and Instagram, we found no detectable effects of removing political ads on political knowledge, polarization, perceived legitimacy of the election, political participation (including campaign contributions), candidate favorability, and turnout. This was true overall and for both Democrats and Republicans separately.
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This paper was conducted as part of the U.S. 2020 Facebook and Instagram Election Study, a collaboration between a team of researchers at Meta and an independent set of external academic researchers. The team designed the project together (with lead academic authors having final say on the pre-registered analysis plan). Data collection was carried out by Meta and NORC. The pipeline code used to pre-process raw platform data was conducted by Meta and reviewed and approved by the external researchers; both the Meta team and external researchers analyzed the data. The paper was written by the external researchers with feedback from the Meta team, but the lead academic authors had final control rights over text and publication. More details on the collaboration appear in the Competing Interests Section and in Supplementary Note 9. The Facebook Open Research and Transparency (FORT) team provided substantial support in executing the overall project. We are grateful for support on various aspects of project management from C. Nayak, S. Zahedi, I. Rosenn, L. Ahmad, A. Bhalla, C. Chan, A. Gruen, B. Hillenbrand, D. Li, P. McLeod, and D. Rice; engineering from Y. Chen, S. Chen, T. Lohman, R. Pyke, and Y.Wan; data engineering from S. Chintha, J. Cronin, D. Desai, Y. Kiraly, T. Li, X. Liu, S. Pellakuru, C. Xie, and B. Xiong; data science and research from H. Connolly-Sporing; academic partnerships from R. Mersey, M. Zoorob, L. Harrison, S. Aisiks, Y. Rubinstein and C. Qiao; privacy and legal assessment from K. Benzina, F. Fatigato, J. Hassett, S. Iyengar, P. Mohassel, A. Muzaffar, A. Raghunathan and A. Sun; and content design from C. Bernard, J. Breneman, D. Leto and S. Raj. NORC at the University of Chicago partnered with Meta on this project to conduct the fieldwork with the survey participants and pair the survey data with web tracking data for consented participants in predetermined aggregated forms. We are particularly grateful for the partnership of NORC principal investigator J. M. Dennis and NORC project director M. Montgomery. The costs associated with the research (such as participant fees, recruitment, and data collection) were paid by Meta, who collaborated with academics in this project as part of the U.S. 2020 Facebook and Instagram Election Study (for more details see Supplementary Note 9). Ancillary support (for example, research assistants and course buyouts), as applicable, was sourced by academics from (authors’ initials in parenthesis): the Democracy Fund (NJS), the European Research Council Starting Grant (EXPO- 756301) (MW), the Guggenheim Foundation (BN), the Hewlett Foundation (NJS, JT), the Hopewell Fund (JT), the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation (DF, DL, NJS, JT, RT), the Charles Koch Foundation (JT), New York University (JT), the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation (MG), Stanford University (HA, MG, NM, JP), the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (MG), the University of Texas at Austin (NJS), and the University of Wisconsin–Madison (YMK). These funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research.
Hunt AllcottHunt Allcott has previously done consulting work on a matter related to Meta.
Matthew GentzkowI have been a paid consultant for Amazon and done economic consulting for Analysis Group and Compass Lexecon. Clients for this economic consulting work include large technology companies such as Meta and Google. I have in the past received compensation as a member of the Toulouse Network for Information Technology, a research group funded in part by Microsoft.
Adriana Crespo-TenorioPast employee at Meta
Winter MasonWinter Mason is currently an employee at Meta.
Drew DimmeryPast employee at Meta
Sandra González-Bailón• Attended a Meta event in 2020 where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.
• Direct research funding in 2012 from a related company (grant to you as PI or Co-PI).Young Mie Kim• Attended a Meta event where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.
David Lazer• Attended a Meta event where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.
• Attended an event from a related company where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.Neil Malhotra• Attended a Meta event where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.
• Attended an event from a related company where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.
• Served as expert witness in the social media industryBrendan Nyhan• Direct research funding from Meta (grant to you as PI or Co-PI).
• Attended a Meta event where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.
• Attended an event from a related company where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.Jennifer Pan• Direct research funding from Meta (grant to you as PI or Co-PI).
• Received an honorarium/fee from Meta for attending or hosting an event/serving as an outside expert.
• Attended a Meta event where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.Emily Thorson• Attended a Meta event where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.
Rebekah Tromble• Direct research funding from Meta (grant to you as PI or Co-PI).
• Attended a Meta event where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.
• Direct research funding from a related company (grant to you as PI or Co-PI).Carlos Velasco Rivera• Past employee at Meta
• Own individual Meta stocks.Magdalena Wojcieszak• Direct research funding from Meta (grant to you as PI or Co-PI).
• Attended a Meta event where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.
• Attended an event from a related company where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.Annie FrancoCurrent employee at Meta.
Chad Kiewiet de Jonge• Own individual Meta stocks.
• Attended a Meta event where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.Natalie Jomini Stroud• Paid consulting work for Meta.
• Direct research funding from Meta (grant to you as PI or Co-PI).
• Attended a Meta event where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.
• Direct research funding from a related company (grant to you as PI or Co-PI).
• Attended an event from a related company where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.Joshua A. Tucker• Direct research funding from Meta (grant to you as PI or Co-PI).
• Received an honorarium/fee from Meta for attending or hosting an event/serving as an outside expert.
• Attended a Meta event where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company.
• Attended an event from a related company where food, travel, or lodging was paid for by the company. -
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