Managing Households' Expectations with Unconventional Policies
With a binding effective lower bound on interest rates and large government deficits, conventional policies are unviable and policymakers resort to unconventional policies, which target households' expectations directly. Using unique micro data and a difference-in-differences strategy, we assess the effectiveness of unconventional fiscal policy and forward guidance, both of which aim to stimulate consumption via raising households' inflation expectations. All households' inflation expectations and spending plans react to unconventional fiscal policy. Instead, households, contrary to experts, do not react to forward guidance. We argue that policies aiming to affect households directly are ineffective if (non-expert) households do not understand them.
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Copy CitationFrancesco D’Acunto, Daniel Hoang, and Michael Weber, "Managing Households' Expectations with Unconventional Policies," NBER Working Paper 27399 (2020), https://doi.org/10.3386/w27399.Download Citation
Published Versions
Francesco D’Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Michael Weber & Tarun Ramadorai, 2022. "Managing Households’ Expectations with Unconventional Policies," The Review of Financial Studies, vol 35(4), pages 1597-1642. citation courtesy of 
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