NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
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Household Debt and Recession in Brazil

Gabriel Garber, Atif Mian, Jacopo Ponticelli, Amir Sufi

NBER Working Paper No. 25170
Issued in October 2018
NBER Program(s):The Corporate Finance Program, The Economic Fluctuations and Growth Program, The International Finance and Macroeconomics Program, The Monetary Economics Program

Brazil experienced one of the most severe recessions in its history from 2014 to 2016. Following a pattern shown for previous economic downturns in other countries, the Brazilian recession was preceded by a substantial increase in household debt from 2003 to 2014. This study utilizes a novel individual level data set on household borrowing in order to provide details of the household debt boom. The data set allows for a decomposition of the rise in household debt by the type of debt and by the source of debt, and it allows for an analysis of the income of individuals taking on more debt during the boom. We conclude with an exploration of potential causes of the rise in household debt.

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w25170

 
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