Developing countries' financial vulnerability to the euro crisis: An event study of equity and bond markets
The global crisis highlights the continued vulnerability of developing countries to shocks from advanced economies. Just a few years after the global crisis, the eurozone sovereign debt crisis has emerged as the single biggest threat to the global outlook. In this paper, we apply the event study methodology to gauge the scope for financial contagion from the EU to developing countries. More specifically, we estimate the responsiveness of equity and bond markets in developing countries to global crisis news and euro crisis news. Overall, we find that whereas global crisis news had a consistently negative effect on returns of equity and bond markets in developing countries, the effect of euro crisis news was more mixed and limited.
Joshua Aizenman and Yothin Jinjarak acknowledge funding from the Asian Development Bank (ADB). The views herein are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the ADB, or the National Bureau of Economic Research.