Skip to main content

Non-Technical Summaries

  • "The central tendencies of market-based forecasts are at least as accurate, and in fact somewhat superior to, the 'consensus' or 'survey...

Published Versions

Frankel, Jeffrey A. and Christopher A. Pissarides (eds.) NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2005 (NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics Series). Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, July 31, 2007.

Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk, Refet Gürkaynak, Justin Wolfers. in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2005, Frankel and Pissarides. 2007

More from NBER

In addition to working papers, the NBER disseminates affiliates’ latest findings through a range of free periodicals — the NBER Reporter, the NBER Digest, the Bulletin on Retirement and Disability, and the Bulletin on Health — as well as online conference reports, video lectures, and interviews.

Economics of Digitization Figure 1
  • Article
The NBER Economics of Digitization Project, established in 2010 with support from the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, provides a forum for disseminating research...
  • Lecture
Claudia Goldin, the Henry Lee Professor of Economics at Harvard University and a past president of the American...
2020 Methods Lecture Promo Image
  • Lecture
The extent to which individual responses to household surveys are protected from discovery by outside parties depends...