The Human Capital Production Function: New Estimates and Implications for Labor Supply and Taxes
Working Paper 35238
DOI 10.3386/w35238
Issue Date
This paper estimates a learning-by-doing human-capital production function in which hours affect both current productivity and future human capital. We show that the standard Ben-Porath specification is weakly identified: its objective function is nearly flat along a ridge in parameter space, undermining conventional inference. We develop a flexible sieve alternative that is well-identified, and estimate a concave hours technology using PSID data. Embedding this technology in a life-cycle model, we find very small prime-age labor-supply responses to temporary wage shocks. Despite these low elasticities, optimal labor-income taxes are flat because they distort both current labor supply and future human-capital accumulation.
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Copy CitationHan Gao, Michael P. Keane, Kaja Kierulf, and Alan Woodland, "The Human Capital Production Function: New Estimates and Implications for Labor Supply and Taxes," NBER Working Paper 35238 (2026), https://doi.org/10.3386/w35238.Download Citation