The Labor Demand and Labor Supply Channels of Monetary Policy

Monetary policy is conventionally understood to influence labor demand, with little effect on labor supply. We estimate the response of labor market flows to high-frequency changes in interest rates around FOMC announcements and Fed Chair speeches and find evidence that, in contrast to the consensus view, a contractionary monetary policy shock leads to a significant increase in labor supply: workers reduce the rate at which they quit jobs to non-employment, and non-employed individuals increase their job-seeking behavior. Holding such supply-driven labor market flows constant, the overall decline in employment from a contractionary monetary policy shock becomes twice as large.