NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
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Data-intensive Innovation and the State: Evidence from AI Firms in China

Martin Beraja, David Y. Yang, Noam Yuchtman

NBER Working Paper No. 27723
Issued in August 2020, Revised in September 2020
NBER Program(s):Economic Fluctuations and Growth, Political Economy, Productivity, Innovation, and Entrepreneurship

Data-intensive technologies, like AI, are increasingly widespread. We argue that the direction of innovation and growth in data-intensive economies may be crucially shaped by the state because: (i) the state is a key collector of data and (ii) data is sharable across uses within firms, potentially generating economies of scope. We study a prototypical setting: facial recognition AI in China. Collecting comprehensive data on firms and government procurement contracts, we find evidence of economies of scope arising from government data: firms awarded contracts providing access to more government data produce both more government and commercial software. We then build a directed technical change model to study the implications of government data access for the direction of innovation, growth, and welfare. We conclude with three applications showing how data-intensive innovation may be shaped by the state: both directly, by setting industrial policy; and indirectly, by choosing surveillance levels and privacy regulations.

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w27723

 
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