The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update

Ray C. Fair
Working Paper 2222
DOI 10.3386/w2222
Issue Date

In previous work I have developed an equation explaining votes for president in the United States that seems to have a remarkable predictive ability. In this paper the equation is updated through the 1984 election and then used to predict the 1988 election.

  • Ray C. Fair, "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update," NBER Working Paper 2222 (1987), https://doi.org/10.3386/w2222.

Published Versions

Political Behavior, Vol. 10, No. 2, pp. 168-179, (1988).

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Topics

Macroeconomics

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Economic Fluctuations and Growth

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