Labor Market Dysfunction During the Great Recession
This paper documents the abnormally slow recovery in the labor market during the Great Recession, and analyzes how mortgage modification policies contributed to delayed recovery. By making modifications means-tested by reducing mortgage payments based on a borrower's current income, these programs change the incentive for households to relocate from a relatively poor labor market to a better labor market. We find that modifications raise the unemployment rate by about 0.5 percentage points, and reduce output by about 1 percent, reflecting both lower employment and lower productivity, which is the result of individuals losing skills as unemployment duration is longer.
The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research.
“Labor Market Dysfunction during the Great Recession,” with Lee E. Ohanian (UCLA), Cato Papers on Public Policy, edited by Jeffrey Miron, Volume 1, 2011.