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Non-Technical Summaries

  • Increases in business uncertainty are associated with prolonged declines in economic activity. In Uncertainty and Economic Activity...

Published Versions

R?diger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2013. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 217-49, April. citation courtesy of

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Alan J. Auerbach, the Robert D. Birch Professor of Economics and Law at the University of California, Berkeley, and...
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Long-time NBER research associates Joshua Angrist, David Card, and Guido Imbens have been awarded the 2021 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences in recognition of...
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The credible estimation of causal effects is a central task of applied econometrics. Two tools for this purpose that...