Pigou Cycles in Closed and Open Economies with Matching Frictions
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We show that a simple labor market matching model can generate Pigou cycles, that is, a positive comovement in consumption, investment, and employment in response to news about future macroeconomic developments. However, investment moves in the right direction for only a small set of parameter values. This paper shows that an open-economy version in which international capital flows dampen domestic interest rate responses can robustly generate Pigou cycles. In models with a spot market for labor, sticky interest rates reinforce the wealth effect and make it more difficult to generate Pigou cycles. In a matching model, however, both the demand for and the supply of labor are investment decisions, and sticky interest rates reinforce the increase in these investments following a positive news shock. The stronger employment response raises the expected return on capital, which ensures a robust increase in capital investment as well.
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Copy CitationWouter J. Den Haan and Matija Lozej, NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2010 (University of Chicago Press, 2010), chap. 5, https://www.nber.org/books-and-chapters/nber-international-seminar-macroeconomics-2010/pigou-cycles-closed-and-open-economies-matching-frictions.
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