A Model of Global Currency Pricing
This paper proposes a concept of a global currency and introduces a “global currency pricing” (GCP) specification into a standard N-country open economy macroeconomic model. A global currency is defined as a virtual unit of account that is exclusively used for international trade invoicing and is formed as a basket of individual currencies, similar to the existing SDR. We describe the pattern of exchange rate pass-through and real allocations under a global currency and derive optimal monetary policies under each specification. We show there is a unique welfare optimal composition of a global currency that weights currencies according to their importance in international trade. A striking implication is that under this global currency design, the monetary policy of each country should be concerned solely with domestic shocks. No country should have more than a 50 percent weight in an optimal global currency. The optimal configuration of the global currency applies whether or not there is international policy cooperation. Applying the model to a sample of 20 world countries and currencies, we find that all countries can gain in welfare from a shift out of dollar currency pricing (DCP) to GCP.
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Copy CitationMichael B. Devereux, Rui Lu, Kang Shi, and Juanyi (Jenny) Xu, "A Model of Global Currency Pricing," NBER Working Paper 33540 (2025), https://doi.org/10.3386/w33540.
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