Predicting Police Misconduct

This project was supported by the Irving Harris Foundation, Griffin Catalyst, the Joyce Foundation, the Charles Koch Foundation, the MacArthur Foundation, the Motorola Solutions Foundation and the U.S. Department Of Justice’s Bureau of Justice Assistance. We are grateful to the Chicago Police Department as well as the Independent Monitoring team for the Chicago Police Department’s consent decree with the Illinois Attorney General for their partnership and guidance, particularly Barbara West, Bob Boik, Jack Kenter and Rick Peplinski. This work was made possible by support from the University of Chicago Crime Lab, especially Roseanna Ander, Anthony Berglund, Ellen Dunn, Nicole Gillespie, Maggie Goodrich, Katie Larsen, Sandy Jo MacArthur, Zoe Russek, and Diamond Thompson. Thanks to Danielle Allen, Hye Chang, John Greer, Emma Nechamkin, and Alex Williamson for their outstanding data science work. For thoughtful feedback we thank Aaron Chalfin, Oeindrila Dube, Zubin Jelveh, Max Kapustin, John Rappaport, Kyle Rozema, and Max Schanzenbach. Findings, opinions and any errors here are those of the authors alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Chicago Police Department. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research.