Can VAT Cuts and Anti-Profiteering Measures Dampen the Effects of Food Price Inflation?
Working Paper 32241
DOI 10.3386/w32241
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We study a temporary VAT cut on food, its re-introduction, and anti-profiteering price caps during high inflation in Argentina. Using barcode-level data from over 3,000 supermarkets, we find: (1) in monitored chains, VAT-cut pass-through is near-complete, unlike the incomplete pass-through in less-monitored settings; (2) in unmonitored independents, pass-through is asymmetric—prices rise more after reinstatement than after the cut and stay above pre-cut levels; and (3) caps compress price increases in chains but leave capped prices persistently below pre-cut levels. A consumer surplus model shows the VAT cut was progressive, with caps reducing the asymmetry’s regressive impact.
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Copy CitationYoussef Benzarti, Santiago Garriga, and Darío Tortarolo, "Can VAT Cuts and Anti-Profiteering Measures Dampen the Effects of Food Price Inflation?," NBER Working Paper 32241 (2024), https://doi.org/10.3386/w32241.Download Citation
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