The Unequal Economic Consequences of Carbon Pricing
Working Paper 31221
DOI 10.3386/w31221
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This paper studies the economic impacts of carbon pricing. Exploiting institutional features of the European carbon market and high-frequency data, I identify carbon policy shocks and trace their dynamic effects. A restrictive carbon policy shock raises energy prices, reduces emissions, spurs green innovation but also decreases economic activity, disproportionately burdening poorer households. Not only are the poor more affected because of their higher energy spending, they also experience larger income losses. These indirect, general-equilibrium effects via income and employment play an important role in the transmission of carbon pricing policies, accounting for about two-thirds of the aggregate consumption response.