NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
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Lending to the Unbanked: Relational Contracting with Loan Sharks

Kevin Lang, Kaiwen Leong, Huailu Li, Haibo Xu

NBER Working Paper No. 26400
Issued in October 2019
NBER Program(s):Development Economics Program, Law and Economics Program, Public Economics Program

We study roughly 11,000 loans from unlicensed moneylenders to over 1,000 borrowers in Singapore and provide basic information about this understudied market. Borrowers frequently expect to repay late. While lenders do rely on additional punishments to enforce loans, the primary cost of not repaying on time is compounding of a very high interest rate. We develop a very simple model of the relational contract between loan sharks and borrowers and use it to predict the effect of a crackdown on illegal moneylending. Consistent with our model, the crackdown raised the interest rate and lowered the size of loans.

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w26400

 
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