Asset Price Bubbles and Systemic Risk
We analyze the relationship between asset price bubbles and systemic risk, using bank-level data covering almost thirty years. Systemic risk of banks rises already during a bubble’s build-up phase, and even more so during its bust. The increase differs strongly across banks and bubble episodes. It depends on bank characteristics (especially bank size) and bubble characteristics, and it can become very large: In a median real estate bust, systemic risk increases by almost 70 percent of the median for banks with unfavorable characteristics. These results emphasize the importance of bank-level factors for the build-up of financial fragility during bubble episodes.
The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. Financial support from the Frankfurt Institute for Risk Management and Regulation (FIRM) is gratefully acknowledged.
Markus K. Brunnermeier
As a guiding principle I follow the NBER Research Disclosure Policy: http://www.nber.org/researchdisclosurepolicy.html
To date, no single relationship (other than my salary form Princeton University) has accounted for more than 15 percent of my aggregate annual income in that year.
Significant Remunerated Activities:
Speaking engagements and lectures
ECB, NUS/Monetary Authority of Singapore, ESRB, Bundesbank (Research Council), Bank of Korea (Keynote presentation), Bank of England, National Bank of Austria, Swiss National Bank, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Bank of Canada, Bank of Chile, Bank of Korea
Swiss Finance Institute, 2012-
No expert testimony for law suits or paid consulting work for private cooperation to date.
Sloan Foundation 2011-12
Guggenheim Fellowship, 2010-11
INQUIRE Europe, Research Grant
Significant Non-Compensated Activities:
American Finance Association: Director
Financial Advisory Roundtable and Monetary Policy Panel, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 2006 – present
INET Advisory Board Member, 2009 – present
Markus Brunnermeier & Simon Rother & Isabel Schnabel & Itay Goldstein, 2020. "Asset Price Bubbles and Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, vol 33(9), pages 4272-4317.