A Swing-State Theorem, with Evidence
---- Acknowledgments ----
We are grateful to seminar participants at Yale, Syracuse, Southern Methodist University, George Mason, and the University of Maryland, as well as conference participants at the International Economics Workshop, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing; Workshop on International Trade 2016, Shanghai University of International Business and Economics; the 2nd CCER (China Center for Economic Research, Peking University) Summer Institute, 2016; the 2012 CAGE/CEP Workshop on Trade Policy in a Globalized World, Venice; and the 2017 Mid-Atlantic Trade Workshop. Special thanks go to Peter Schott and our discussant, Christina Tello-Trillo. We acknowledge support from NSF Grant 0418388, the Bankard Fund for Political Economy at the University of Virginia, National Natural Science Foundation of China (71503045) and the Beijing Social Science Fund (15JGC158). The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research.