Incentives and the Effects of Publication Lags on Life Cycle Research Productivity in Economics

John P. Conley, Mario J. Crucini, Robert A. Driskill, Ali Sina Onder

NBER Working Paper No. 17043
Issued in May 2011, Revised in November 2011
NBER Program(s):Labor Studies, Productivity, Innovation, and Entrepreneurship

We investigate how increases in publication delays have affected the life-cycle of publications of recent Ph.D. graduates in economics. We construct a panel dataset of 14,271 individuals who were awarded Ph.D.s between 1986 and 2000 in US and Canadian economics departments. For this population of scholars, we amass complete records of publications in peer reviewed journals listed in the JEL (a total of 368,672 observations). We find evidence of significantly diminished productivity in recent relative to earlier cohorts when productivity of an individual is measured by the number of AER equivalent publications. Diminished productivity is less evident when number of AER equivalent pages is used instead. Our findings are consistent with earlier empirical findings of increasing editorial delays, decreasing acceptance rates at journals, and a trend toward longer manuscripts. This decline in productivity is evident in both graduates of top thirty and non-top thirty ranked economics departments and may have important implications for what should constitute a tenurable record. We also find that the research rankings of the faculty do not line up with the research quality of their students in many cases.

download in pdf format
   (502 K)

email paper

Machine-readable bibliographic record - MARC, RIS, BibTeX

Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w17043

Published: Crucini, Mario J., John Conley, Robert Driskill and Ali Sina Onder. “The Effects of Publication Lags on Life Cycle Research Productivity in Economics,” Economic Inquiry, 2012.

Users who downloaded this paper also downloaded* these:
Ellison w7804 The Slowdown of the Economics Publishing Process
Card and DellaVigna w18665 Nine Facts about Top Journals in Economics
Hamermesh w18635 Six Decades of Top Economics Publishing: Who and How?
Ellison w13272 Is Peer Review in Decline?
Ball and Mazumder w17044 Inflation Dynamics and the Great Recession
NBER Videos

National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Ave., Cambridge, MA 02138; 617-868-3900; email:

Contact Us