Equilibrium Price Responses to Targeted Student Financial Aid
Working Paper 33833
DOI 10.3386/w33833
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We study how colleges adjust tuition in response to student financial aid, emphasizing the role of targeting. Our framework highlights two forces: a direct effect that increases tuition, and a composition effect that can reduce tuition when aid targets more price-sensitive students. Using a reform in Brazil’s student loan program, we document both effects empirically and estimate an equilibrium model to evaluate counterfactual policies. We find that merit-based targeting raises tuition by 2.2%, while need-based targeting lowers it by 0.8%, reflecting that lower-income students are more price-sensitive. These price effects have a strong impact on enrollment decisions.
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Copy CitationNano Barahona, Cauê Dobbin, and Sebastián Otero, "Equilibrium Price Responses to Targeted Student Financial Aid," NBER Working Paper 33833 (2025), https://doi.org/10.3386/w33833.Download Citation
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