Calling Recessions in Real Time

James D. Hamilton

NBER Working Paper No. 16162
Issued in July 2010

---- Acknowledgments ----

I am grateful for assistance and suggestions provided by Maximo Camacho, Marcelle Chauvet, Jeremy Nalewaik, Gabriel Perez-Quiros, Jeremy Piger, James Stock, Mark Watson, and Jonathan Wright. This research is the work of the author alone and should not be interpreted as the opinions, findings, or procedures of the National Bureau of Economic Research's Business Cycle Dating Committee, or the NBER more generally.

return to bibliography page