Robert E. Kopp
Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences
Wright Labs, 610 Taylor Road
Piscataway, NJ 08854-8066
Institutional Affiliation: Rutgers University
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|July 2020||Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits|
with , , , , , , , , , , , , , , : w27599
This paper develops the first globally comprehensive and empirically grounded estimates of mortality risk due to future temperature increases caused by climate change. Using 40 countries' subnational data, we estimate age-specific mortality-temperature relationships that enable both extrapolation to countries without data and projection into future years while accounting for adaptation. We uncover a U-shaped relationship where extreme cold and hot temperatures increase mortality rates, especially for the elderly, that is flattened by both higher incomes and adaptation to local climate (e.g., robust heating systems in cold climates and cooling systems in hot climates). Further, we develop a revealed preference approach to recover unobserved adaptation costs. We combine these components with...
|October 2018||An Economist’s Guide to Climate Change Science|
with : w25189
Climate change management is a global challenge that requires social science as much as it requires natural science. We provide a brief introduction to the physical science of climate change, written to provide essential background for economists and other social scientists. We also highlight some key areas in which economists—including those studying macroeconomics, political economy, and development—are in a unique position to help climate science advance.
Published: Solomon Hsiang & Robert E. Kopp, 2018. "An Economist’s Guide to Climate Change Science," Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol 32(4), pages 3-32.
|August 2018||Evaluating the Economic Cost of Coastal Flooding|
with , , , , , : w24918
Sea-level rise and ensuing permanent coastal inundation will cause spatial shifts in population and economic activity over the next 200 years. Using a highly spatially disaggregated, dynamic model of the world economy that accounts for the dynamics of migration, trade, and innovation, this paper estimates the consequences of probabilistic projections of local sea-level changes under different emissions scenarios. Under an intermediate greenhouse gas concentration trajectory, permanent flooding is projected to reduce global real GDP by an average of 0.19% in present value terms, with welfare declining by 0.24% as people move to places with less attractive amenities. By the year 2200 a projected 1.46% of world population will be displaced. Losses in many coastal localities are more than an o...