University of California
Berkeley, CA 94720
Institutional Affiliation: University of California, Berkeley
Information about this author at RePEc
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|December 2018||Using RCTs to Estimate Long-Run Impacts in Development Economics|
with Yue Huang, Michael Kremer, Edward Miguel: w25356
We assess evidence from randomized control trials (RCTs) on long-run economic productivity and living standards in poor countries. We first document that several studies estimate large positive long-run impacts, but that relatively few existing RCTs have been evaluated over the long-run. We next present evidence from a systematic survey of existing RCTs, with a focus on cash transfer and child health programs, and show that a meaningful subset can realistically be evaluated for long-run effects. We discuss ways to bridge the gap between the burgeoning number of development RCTs and the limited number that have been followed up to date, including through new panel (longitudinal) data, improved participant tracking methods, alternative research designs, and access to administrative, remote ...