NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
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Yue Huang

Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics
University of California, Berkeley
207 Giannini Hall #3310
Berkeley, CA 94720
Tel: 5107013560

E-Mail: EmailAddress: hidden: you can email any NBER-related person as first underscore last at nber dot org
Institutional Affiliation: University of California, Berkeley

NBER Working Papers and Publications

December 2018Using RCTs to Estimate Long-Run Impacts in Development Economics
with Adrien Bouguen, Michael Kremer, Edward Miguel: w25356
We assess evidence from randomized control trials (RCTs) on long-run economic productivity and living standards in poor countries. We first document that several studies estimate large positive long-run impacts, but that relatively few existing RCTs have been evaluated over the long-run. We next present evidence from a systematic survey of existing RCTs, with a focus on cash transfer and child health programs, and show that a meaningful subset can realistically be evaluated for long-run effects. We discuss ways to bridge the gap between the burgeoning number of development RCTs and the limited number that have been followed up to date, including through new panel (longitudinal) data, improved participant tracking methods, alternative research designs, and access to administrative, remote ...
 
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