National Institutes of Health
6705 Rockledge Drive, Room 3529
Bethesda, MD 20892
Institutional Affiliation: NIH
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|June 2016||The Over Time Impacts Of Smoke Free Air Ordinances In Texas|
with Joshua J. Miller, John Tauras: w22352
We examine an untested hypothesis that posits that null results in early studies examining the economic impacts of smoking bans were driven by sample selection. Early adopters could better absorb the shock of bans, but among worse selected late adopters bans would adversely impact bars and restaurants. We exploit variation in the timing of ban institution among Texas municipalities and track their impact over time. We find similar adjustments trajectories between late and early adopters, but late adopters appear unaffected by bans in the long-term. Consistent with earlier studies, bans do not significantly affect bar and restaurant sales or establishment level alcohol tax expenditures.