Pasadena, CA 91125
Institutional Affiliation: Caltech
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|May 2013||'Lucas' In The Laboratory|
with Elena Asparouhova, Peter Bossaerts, William Zame: w19068
This paper reports on experimental tests of an instantiation of the Lucas asset pricing model with heterogeneous agents and time-varying private income streams. Central features of the model (infinite horizon, perishability of consumption, stationarity) present difficult challenges and require a novel experimental design. The experimental evidence provides broad support for the qualitative pricing and consumption predictions of the model (prices move with fundamentals, agents smooth consumption) but sharp differences from the quantitative predictions emerge (asset prices display excess volatility, agents do not hedge price risk). Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) tests of the stochastic Euler equations yield very different conclusions depending on the instruments chosen. It is suggest...
Published: ELENA ASPAROUHOVA & PETER BOSSAERTS & NILANJAN ROY & WILLIAM ZAME, 2016. "“Lucas” In The Laboratory," The Journal of Finance, , pages n/a-n/a.