Institutional Affiliation: Free University of Bozen-Bolzano
Information about this author at RePEc
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|March 2020||Compliance with COVID-19 Social-Distancing Measures in Italy: The Role of Expectations and Duration|
with Guglielmo Briscese, Nicola Lacetera, Mario Macis: w26916
We study how intentions to comply with the self-isolation restrictions introduced in Italy to mitigate the COVID-19 epidemic respond to the length of their possible extension. Based on a survey of a representative sample of Italian residents (N=894), we find that respondents are more likely to express the intention to reduce, and less willing to increase their self-isolation effort if negatively surprised by a given hypothetical extension, i.e. if the extension is longer than what they expected. These intentions are stronger among respondents who reported high compliance with the isolation prescriptions. In a context where individual compliance has collective benefits, but full enforcement is costly and controversial, communication and persuasion have a fundamental role. Our findings provi...