Institute of Social and Economic Research
Institutional Affiliation: ISER, Osaka University
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|May 2019||The Seniority Structure of Sovereign Debt|
with Christoph Trebesch, Mark L.J. Wright: w25793
Sovereign governments owe debt to many foreign creditors and can choose which creditors to favor when making payments. This paper documents the de facto seniority structure of sovereign debt using new data on defaults (missed payments or arrears) and creditor losses in debt restructuring (haircuts). We overturn conventional wisdom by showing that official bilateral (government-to-government) debt is junior, or at least not senior, to private sovereign debt such as bank loans and bonds. Private creditors are typically paid first and lose less than bilateral official creditors. We confirm that multilateral institutions such as the IMF and World Bank are senior creditors.