NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
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Xuewen Liu

Department of Finance
HKU
Hong Kong

E-Mail: xuewenl@hku.hk
Institutional Affiliation: The University of Hong Kong (HKU)

NBER Working Papers and Publications

September 2018Financial Markets, the Real Economy, and Self-fulfilling Uncertainties
with Jess Benhabib, Pengfei Wang: w24984
Uncertainty in both financial markets and the real economy rises sharply during recessions. We develop a model of informational interdependence between financial markets and the real economy, linking uncertainty to information production and aggregate economic activities. We argue that there exists mutual learning between financial markets and the real economy. Their joint information productions determine both the allocative efficiency in the real sector and the market efficiency in the financial sector. The mutual learning creates a strategic complementarity between information production in the financial sector and that in the real sector. A self-fulfilling surge in financial uncertainty and real uncertainty can naturally arise when both sectors produce little information in anticipatio...

Published: JESS BENHABIB & XUEWEN LIU & PENGFEI WANG, 2019. "Financial Markets, the Real Economy, and Self‐Fulfilling Uncertainties," The Journal of Finance, vol 74(3), pages 1503-1557. citation courtesy of

June 2015Sentiments, Financial Markets, and Macroeconomic Fluctuations
with Jess Benhabib, Pengfei Wang: w21294
This paper studies how financial information frictions can generate sentiment-driven fluctuations in asset prices and self-fulfilling business cycles. In our model economy, exuberant financial market sentiments of high output and high demand for capital increase the price of capital, which signals strong fundamentals of the economy to the real side and consequently leads to an actual boom in real output and employment. The model further derives implications for asymmetric non-linear asset prices and for economic contagion and co-movement across countries. In the extension to the dynamic OLG setting, our model demonstrates that sentiment shocks can generate persistent output, employment and business cycle fluctuations, and offers some new implications for asset prices over business cycles.

Published: Benhabib, Jess & Liu, Xuewen & Wang, Pengfei, 2016. "Sentiments, financial markets, and macroeconomic fluctuations," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 420-443. citation courtesy of

 
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