College L. H. Dupriez, 3 Place Montesquieu
Louvain la Neuve 1348
Institutional Affiliation: Université Catholique de Louvain, IRES
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|September 2018||Skill of the Immigrants and Vote of the Natives: Immigration and Nationalism in European Elections 2007-2016|
with Simone Moriconi, Giovanni Peri: w25077
In this paper we document the impact of immigration at the regional level on Europeans’ political preferences as expressed by voting behavior in parliamentary or presidential elections between 2007 and 2016. We combine individual data on party voting with a classification of each party's political agenda on a scale of their "nationalistic" attitudes over 28 elections across 126 parties in 12 countries. To reduce immigrant selection and omitted variable bias, we use immigrant settlements in 2005 and the skill composition of recent immigrant flows as instruments. OLS and IV estimates show that larger inflows of highly educated immigrants were associated with a change in the vote of citizens away from nationalism. However the inflow of less educated immigrants was positively associated with a...