Kenneth S. Rogoff
Thomas D Cabot Professor of Public Policy
Economics Department
Harvard University
Littauer Center 216
Cambridge, MA 02138-3001
Tel: 617-495-4022
Fax: 617/495-7730
E-Mail: 
WWW: http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/rogoff
NBER Program Affiliations:
IFM
,
ME
,
EFG
NBER Affiliation: Research Associate
Institutional Affiliation: Harvard University
Information about this author at RePEc
NBER Working Papers and Publications
| February 2017 | Exchange Arrangements Entering the 21st Century: Which Anchor Will Hold?
with Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen M. Reinhart: w23134
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| The Country Chronologies to Exchange Rate Arrangements into the 21st Century: Will the Anchor Currency Hold?
with Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen M. Reinhart: w23135
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| September 2015 | Sovereign Debt and Financial Crises: Theory and Historical Evidence
with Ṣebnem Kalemli‐Özcan, Carmen Reinhart
in Sovereign Debt and Financial Crises, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Carmen Reinhart, and Kenneth Rogoff, organizers
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| June 2014 | Dealing with Debt
with Carmen M. Reinhart, Vincent Reinhart
in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2014, Richard Clarida, Jeffrey Frankel, Francesco Giavazzi, and Hélène Rey, organizers
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| May 2014 | Costs and Benefits to Phasing out Paper Currency
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29, Jonathan A. Parker and Michael Woodford, editors
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| Costs and Benefits to Phasing Out Paper Currency
w20126
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| January 2014 | Recovery from Financial Crises: Evidence from 100 Episodes
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w19823
Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2014. "Recovery from Financial Crises: Evidence from 100 Episodes," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(5), pages 50-55, May. citation courtesy of 
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| March 2013 | Shifting Mandates: The Federal Reserve's First Centennial
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w18888
Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2013. "Shifting Mandates: The Federal Reserve's First Centennial," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(3), pages 48-54, May. citation courtesy of
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| April 2012 | Debt Overhangs: Past and Present
with Carmen M. Reinhart, Vincent R. Reinhart: w18015
Published: "Public Debt Overhangs: Advanced-Economy Episodes since 1800" (with Carmen M. Reinhart and Vincent R. Reinhart), Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 26, No. 3, Summer 2012, 69-86. An earlier version was published as "Debt Overhangs: Past and Present," NBER Working Paper No. 18015, April 2012. citation courtesy of
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| Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?
with Domenico Ferraro, Barbara Rossi: w17998
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| October 2011 | Sovereign Debt in the Second Great Contraction: Is This Time Different?
NBER Reporter 2011 number 3
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| May 2011 | On Graduation from Default, Inflation and Banking Crises: Elusive or Illusion?
with Rong Qian, Carmen M. Reinhart
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2010, Volume 25, Daron Acemoglu and Michael Woodford, editors
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| February 2011 | A Decade of Debt
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w16827
Published: A Decade of Debt (with Carmen M Reinhart), Washington DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics, September 2011.
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| Capital Controls: Myth and Reality - A Portfolio Balance Approach
with Nicolas E. Magud, Carmen M. Reinhart: w16805
Published: Nicolas E. Magud & Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2018. "Capital Controls: Myth and Reality--A Portfolio Balance Approach," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 19(1), pages 1-47, May. citation courtesy of
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| July 2010 | On Graduation from Default, Inflation and Banking Crisis: Elusive or Illusion?
with Rong Qian, Carmen M. Reinhart: w16168
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| April 2010 | Front matter, table of contents
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009, Volume 24, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
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| Editorial in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009, Volume 24"
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009, Volume 24, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
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| March 2010 | From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w15795
Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2011. "From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(5), pages 1676-1706, August. citation courtesy of
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| January 2010 | Growth in a Time of Debt
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w15639
Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2010.
"Growth in a Time of Debt,"
American Economic Review,
American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 573-78, May.
citation courtesy of
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| April 2009 | Three Epochs of Oil
with Eyal Dvir: w14927
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| Frontmatter, editorial and abstracts in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008"
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008, Volume 23, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
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| January 2009 | The Aftermath of Financial Crises
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w14656
Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "The Aftermath of Financial Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 466-72, May. citation courtesy of
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| December 2008 | Banking Crises: An Equal Opportunity Menace
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w14587
Published: Reinhart, Carmen M. & Rogoff, Kenneth S., 2013. "Banking crises: An equal opportunity menace," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4557-4573. citation courtesy of
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| June 2008 | The Continuing Puzzle of Short Horizon Exchange Rate Forecasting
with Vania Stavrakeva: w14071
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| Comment on "Exchange Rate Models Are Not As Bad As You Think"
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007, Volume 22, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
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| Frontmatter, editorial and abstracts in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007, Volume 22"
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007, Volume 22, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
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| April 2008 | The Forgotten History of Domestic Debt
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w13946
Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2011. "The Forgotten History of Domestic Debt," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 121(552), pages 319-350, 05. citation courtesy of
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| March 2008 | Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?
with Yu-Chin Chen, Barbara Rossi: w13901
Published: Yu-Chin Chen & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2010.
"Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics,
MIT Press, vol. 125(3), pages 1145-1194, August.
citation courtesy of
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| This Time is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w13882
Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2014. "This Time is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 15(2), pages 1065-1188, November. citation courtesy of
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| January 2008 | Is the 2007 U.S. Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different? An International Historical Comparison
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w13761
Published:
- Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2008. "Is the 2007 US Sub-prime Financial Crisis So Different? An International Historical Comparison," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 339-44, May. 2008 citation courtesy of
- Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "Is the 2007 U.S. Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different? An International Historical Comparison," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 56(3), pages 291-299, September. citation courtesy of
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| May 2007 | Front matter, table of contents
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2006, Volume 21, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
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| Editorial, abstracts
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2006, Volume 21, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
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| The Unsustainable U.S. Current Account Position Revisited
with Maurice Obstfeld
in G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, Richard H. Clarida, editor
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| March 2007 | Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries
with Eswar S. Prasad, Shang-Jin Wei, M. Ayhan Kose
in Globalization and Poverty, Ann Harrison, editor
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| August 2006 | Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal
with M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar Prasad, Shang-Jin Wei: w12484
Published:
- M Ayhan Kose & Eswar Prasad & Kenneth Rogoff & Shang-Jin Wei, 2009. "Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan Journals, vol. 56(1), pages 8-62, April. citation courtesy of
- M. Ayhan Kose & Eswar Prasad & Kenneth Rogoff & Shang-Jin Wei, 2009. "Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 56(2), pages 143-197, June. citation courtesy of
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| May 2006 | Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development
with Philippe Aghion, Philippe Bacchetta, Romain Ranciere: w12117
Published: Aghion, Philippe & Bacchetta, Philippe & Rancière, Romain & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2009.
"Exchange rate volatility and productivity growth: The role of financial development,"
Journal of Monetary Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 56(4), pages 494-513, May.
citation courtesy of
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| April 2006 | Front matter, table of contents
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005, Volume 20, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| Editorial, Abstracts
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005, Volume 20, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| April 2005 | Front matter, table of contents
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004, Volume 19, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| Editorial, abstracts
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004, Volume 19, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| December 2004 | Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries
with Eswar S. Prasad, Shang-Jin Wei, M. Ayhan Kose: w10942
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| November 2004 | The Unsustainable US Current Account Position Revisited
with Maurice Obstfeld: w10869
Published: Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 2005. "The unsustainable U.S. current account position revisited," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. citation courtesy of
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| September 2004 | New Perspectives on International Debt and Exchange Rates
NBER Reporter Fall 04
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| August 2004 | Exchange Rate Regime Durability and Performance in Developing Countries Versus Advanced Economies
with Aasim M. Husain, Ashoka Mody: w10673
Published: Husain, Aasim M., Ashoka Mody and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "Exchange Rate Regime Durability And Performance In Developing Versus Advanced Economies," Journal of Monetary Economics, 2005, v52(1,Jan), 35-64.
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| July 2004 | Front matter, table of contents,
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Volume 18, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| Editorial in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Volume 18"
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Volume 18, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| Abstracts
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Volume 18, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| February 2004 | Serial Default and the "Paradox" of Rich to Poor Capital Flows
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w10296
Published: Reinhart, Carmen M. and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "Serial Default And The 'Paradox' Of Risk-To-Poor Capital Flows," American Economic Review, 2004, v94(2,May), 53-58. citation courtesy of
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| October 2003 | Addicted to Dollars
with Carmen M. Reinhart, Miguel A. Savastano: w10015
Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Miguel A. Savastano, 2014. "Addicted to Dollars," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 15(1), pages 1-50, May. citation courtesy of
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| August 2003 | Debt Intolerance
with Carmen M. Reinhart, Miguel A. Savastano: w9908
Published: Reinhart, Carmen M., Kenneth S. Rogoff and Miguel A. Savastano. "Debt Intolerance," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 34, 2003-1 (2003): 1-74. citation courtesy of
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| January 2003 | Front matter, table of contents
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002, Volume 17, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| Editorial in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002, Volume 17"
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002, Volume 17, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| Abstracts
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002, Volume 17, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| May 2002 | The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w8963
Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2004. "The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 119(1), pages 1-48, February. citation courtesy of
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| January 2002 | Front matter, table of contents
with Ben S. Bernanke
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| Editorial in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16"
with Ben S. Bernanke
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| Abstracts
with Ben S. Bernanke
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| January 2001 | Front matter, table of contents
with Ben S. Bernanke
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| Editorial in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15"
with Ben S. Bernanke
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| Abstracts
with Ben S. Bernanke
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?
with Maurice Obstfeld
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
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| August 2000 | Do We Really Need a New International Monetary Compact?
with Maurice Obstfeld: w7864
Published: Obstfeld, Maurice and Kenneth Rogoff. "Global Implications of Self-Oriented National Monetary Rules." Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 2002.
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| July 2000 | The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?
with Maurice Obstfeld: w7777
Published: Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 2000. "The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?," NBER/Macroeconomics Annual, vol 15(1), pages 339-390.
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| August 1999 | New Directions for Stochastic Open Economy Models
with Maurice Obstfeld: w7313
Published: Journal of International Economics, Vol. 50, no. 1 (February 2000): 117-153 citation courtesy of
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| July 1999 | International Institutions for Reducing Global Financial Instability
w7265
Published: Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 13, no. 4 (Fall 1999): 21-42. citation courtesy of
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| January 1999 | Currency Crises
with Paul R. Krugman, Stanley Fischer, William J. McDonough
in International Capital Flows, Martin Feldstein, editor
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| August 1998 | Risk and Exchange Rates
with Maurice Obstfeld: w6694
Published: Helpman, Elhanan and Efraim Sadka (eds.) Contemporary Economic Policy: Essays in Honor of Assaf Razin. Cambridge University Press, 2003.
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| July 1995 | The Mirage of Fixed Exchange Rates
with Maurice Obstfeld: w5191
Published: Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 1995, Volume 9, #4, pp. 73-96 citation courtesy of
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| May 1995 | The Law of One Price Over 700 Years
with Kenneth A. Froot, Michael Kim: w5132
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| December 1994 | Perspectives on PPP and Long-Run Real Exchange Rates
with Kenneth A. Froot: w4952
Published: Chapter 32 in Handbook of International Economics, Vol. 3. [Handbooks in Economics 3], edited by Gene Grossman and Kenneth Rogoff, p. 1647-1688, Amsterdam: Elsevier.
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| October 1994 | The Intertemporal Approach to the Current Account
with Maurice Obstfeld: w4893
Published: Gene Grossman and Kenneth Rogoff, eds. Handbook of International Economicsvol 3, Amsterdam: North-Holland, Elsevior Press, 1995.
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| April 1994 | Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux
with Maurice Obstfeld: w4693
Published: Journal of Political Economy 102 (June 1995), pp 624-660. citation courtesy of
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| August 1992 | Global Versus Country-Specific Productivity Shocks and the Current Account
with Reuven Glick: w4140
Published: Journal of Monetary Economics 35 (February 1995), pp 159-192. citation courtesy of
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| July 1992 | Traded Goods Consumption Smoothing and the Random Walk Behavior of the Real Exchange Rate
w4119
Published: Monetary and Economic Studies 10, (Nov. 1992) 1-29 (Bank of Japan). citation courtesy of
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| April 1991 | The EMS, the EMU, and the Transition to a Common Currency
with Kenneth A. Froot: w3684
Published: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1991, Vol. 6, eds. O.J. Blanchard and S. Fischer , Cambridge: MIT Press, January 1992.
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| January 1991 | The EMS, the EMU, and the Transition to a Common Currency
with Kenneth A. Froot
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1991, Volume 6, Olivier Jean Blanchard and Stanley Fischer, editors
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| March 1989 | Developing Country Borrowing and Domestic Wealth
with Mark Gertler: w2887
Published:
- "Developing Country Borrowing and Domestic Wealth," Proceedings, Federal Bank of San Francisco, 1989. citation courtesy of
- "North-South Lending and Endogenous Domestic Capital Market Inefficiencies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 26, No. 2, October 1990.
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| February 1989 | Sovereign Debt Repurchases: No Cure for Overhang
with Jeremy Bulow: w2850
Published: Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 106, pp. 1219-1235 (November 1991). citation courtesy of
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| June 1988 | Sovereign Debt: Is To Forgive To Forget?
with Jeremy I. Bulow: w2623
Published: Bulow, Jeremy and Kenneth Rogoff. "Sovereign Debt: Is To Forgive To Forget?" from American Economic Review, Vol. 79, 1989. citation courtesy of
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| Sovereign Debt Restructurings: Panacea or Pangloss?
with Jeremy I. Bulow: w2637
Published: "The Buyback Boondoggle" Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, No. 2, pp. 675-698, (1988).
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| November 1987 | Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles
w2428
Published: The American Economic Review, Vol. 80, No. 1, pp. 21-36, (March 1990). citation courtesy of
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| December 1986 | A Constant Recontracting Model of Sovereign Debt
with Jeremy I. Bulow: w2088
Published: Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 95, No. 6, December 1988. citation courtesy of
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| July 1986 | Reputational Constraints on Monetary Policy
w1986
Published: Rogoff, Kenneth. "Reputational Constratints on Monetary Policy." Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, ed. by Karl Brunner and Allen Meltzer, Vol. 26, Spring 1987, pp. 141-182. American Economic Review, vol. 80, no. 1, pp 21-36, March 1990. citation courtesy of
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| February 1986 | Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles
with Anne Sibert: w1838
Published: Rogoff, Kenneth and Anne Sibert. "Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles." From Review of Economic Studies, Vol. LV (55), No. 181, pp. 1-16, January 1988. citation courtesy of
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| October 1985 | Was it Real? The Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Relation, 1973-1984
with Richard Meese: w1732
Published:
- Meese, Richard and Kenneth Rogoff. "Was It Real? The Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Relation: 1973-1984". Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 10, no. 1-2, (June 1986), pp. 297-298. citation courtesy of
- Meese, Richard and Kenneth Rogoff. "Was It Real? The Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Relation over the Modern Floating-Rate Period". The Journal of Finance, Vol. XLIII, No. 4, pp. 933-948, (September 1988).
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| April 1985 | Ruling Out Nonstationary Speculative Bubbles
with Maurice Obstfeld: w1601
Published: Obstfeld, Maurice. "Ruling Out Divergent Speculative Bubbles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 17, (1986), pp. 349-362.
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| August 1983 | Exchange Rate Dynamics With Sluggish Prices Under Alternative Price-Adjustment Rules
with Maurice Obstfeld: w1173
Published: Obstfeld, Maurice & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1984. "Exchange Rate Dynamics with Sluggish Prices under Alternative Price-Adjustment Rules," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 25(1), pages 159-74, February. citation courtesy of
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| 1983 | The Out-of-Sample Failure of Empirical Exchange Rate Models: Sampling Error or Misspecification?
with Richard Meese
in Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics, Jacob A. Frenkel, editor
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| February 1982 | Speculative Hyperinflations in Maximizing Models: Can We Rule Them Out?
with Maurice Obstfeld: w0855
Published: Obstfeld, Maurice, and Kenneth Rogoff. "Speculative Hyperinflations in Maximizing Models: Can We Rule Them Out?" Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 91, No. 4, (August 1983), pp. 675-687. Journal of Economic Literature, Vol . 22, No. 1, (March 1984). citation courtesy of
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