NBER Reporter 2015 Number 3: Research Summary
Corporate Liquidity Management
Liquidity management is an old topic; it has been discussed at least since John Maynard Keynes' examination in the 1930s. It attracts much attention today, as large companies world-wide have amassed some $4 trillion in "idle cash" on their balance sheets. Figure 1 depicts S&P 500 firms' holdings of cash and liquid securities over the last 20 years. The holdings of liquid assets are the highest both in absolute values as well as a fraction of total corporate assets since at least WWII.1 Apple Inc., alone, has recently reported holding nearly $180 billion in cash, enough to acquire the combined equity and debt values of its industry rivals, and comparable to the GDP of Portugal or Greece.
Academic work on corporate liquidity took off around 2000. The notion of corporate liquidity management has since evolved to encompass not only how firms administer their cash balances, but how they deal with credit lines, manage their debt capacity, and use derivatives for hedging. Central to this research is the idea that managers use liquidity as a way to maintain financial flexibility if their firms should face difficulties securing funds in the capital markets. In the corporate world, financial flexibility can be key to sustaining firms' real-side operations at close to optimal levels. In that regard, the broad conclusion is that cash remains "king," at least for certain groups of firms. Debt capacity does not provide the same degree of downside protection as cash, and derivative instruments can only help with a limited set of risks that are traded in the market. While credit lines are good all-around substitutes for cash, firms may still prefer cash when their liquidity risk is systemic in nature, and thus hard for banks to insure. The global financial crisis taught us that, in bad times, banks are unable to insure against surges in corporate liquidity needs, as banks themselves may experience liquidity shortages too.
Is There an "Optimal Level" of Cash?There is a general fascination with the level of cash companies carry on their balance sheets. Various figures are discussed in the media, among academics, practitioners, and even in Federal Reserve Board meetings. But this focus on–or search for–the optimal corporate cash level may be misplaced.
In practice, the literature's focus on cash has been driven by lack of data on alternative mechanisms of liquidity provision such as credit lines and derivatives-based hedging. Now, however, it is becoming possible to incorporate data associated with these other mechanisms into the analysis of corporate liquidity. For example, recent studies have documented that the existence of undrawn credit lines can add substantially to a firm's liquidity. Firms that hold undrawn credit lines also hold some cash, but firms without access to credit lines hold significantly more cash.2 Credit line facilities, too, add up to trillions of dollars nowadays and the message one should take from this is that the cash balances are a by-product of trade-offs that firms face in dealing with their liquidity needs. There should be less focus on observed cash balances per se, and more awareness that cash management is just one piece of a multi-faceted process.
In joint work, Heitor Almeida, Michael Weisbach, and I proposed looking beyond corporate cash levels to examine how firms handle their marginal savings decisions.3 We look at why firms may choose to save funds from operating cash flows, and which firms are likely to do so. We show that firms can engage in very active liquidity management processes independent of the level of cash shown on their balance sheets.
Murillo Campello is a research associate in the NBER's Corporate Finance Program. Since 2011, he has been the Durland Professor of Finance in Cornell University's Johnson Graduate School of Management. He is the co-managing editor of the Journal of Financial Intermediation.We model and discuss a concept that we dub "the cash flow sensitivity of cash." In essence, we isolate the fraction of incremental cash flows that firms retain as additional cash in each period. In our model, firms with easy access to fairly-priced external funds ("financially unconstrained firms") invest at first-best levels. As such, cash flow innovations have no effect on investment spending. Firms facing financial constraints, on the other hand, need to channel part of their cash flow into savings as a way to increase their ability to invest today and in the future. The fraction of cash flows that a firm retains will reflect management's view as to whether the firm is likely to have profitable investment opportunities and whether the capital markets will provide sufficient, fairly-priced financing for those investments.
Campello's research has dealt with issues such as the impact of capital market imperfections on companies, the limits of the firm, product markets, corporate capital structure, monetary policy transmission, financial crises, financial development, and econometrics. His work has been discussed by policy authorities, cited in congressional hearings, and featured in the financial press. Campello earned his Ph.D. in finance from the University of Illinois in 2000, a M.Sc. in business administration from the Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro in 1995, and a B.Sc. in economics from the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro in 1991. A native of (sunny) Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Murillo lives in (snowy) Ithaca, NY. When he is not working, he is playing drums or parenting his two young sons.
We perform a number of tests of the hypothesis that a firm's cash balance depends positively on its cash flow, a situation that indicates the existence of financial constraints. Using a large sample of U.S. companies, we show that firms that are small, that do not pay dividends, and that do not have rated bonds or commercial paper ("constrained firms") display a pronouncedly positive association between cash flows and cash savings. Financially unconstrained firms, in contrast, display no such savings sensitivity. These patterns have since been reported in a number of studies, including some analyzing data from other coun-tries.4
Cash versus Debt Capacity
Alternative Forms of Liquidity
Derivative instruments can substitute for cash holdings in securing the continuity of the investment process because they transfer cash flows to states of the world in which liquidity is needed.6 In a 2011 study, Chen Lin, Yue Ma, Hong Zou, and I explore how hedging affects access to external funding and investment.7 We argue that when firms hedge with derivatives, they make commitments that lower the cost of financial distress and reduce their odds of going bankrupt, which enhances their access to bank credit. Consistent with this idea, we show that firms with active hedging programs in place face lower loan spreads. Importantly, the terms of their loan contracts become more lax, with credit facilities placing far fewer covenants on their investment decisions.
Bank credit lines can be structured so as to replicate derivative instruments that ensure corporate access to liquidity. The key feature of a credit line is that it allows a firm to access pre-committed financing up to a certain quantity in exchange for the payment of a commitment fee. Notably, the degree to which this insurance works in practice has limitations; for one thing, lines can be revoked by the bank if the situation at the firm materially deteriorates (MAC clauses). But, critically, credit line-based liquidity management relies on the ability of the banking sector to honor drawdowns. This can be problematic if corporate liquidity needs and banking sector shortages are correlated.
In a 2013 paper, Acharya, Almeida, and I use this insight to derive key predictions about the choice between cash and credit lines.8 We show that the most efficient liquidity allocation is one in which firms with idiosyncratic liquidity risk use more credit lines, while firms with more systematic risk exposure rely more on cash. The reason is that while banks are natural candidates to insure the liquidity needs of the first group of firms, they may at times be unable to insure the needs of the latter. Cross-sectional analyses using U.S. data over several decades yield results consistent with our predictions. Time-series analyses further show that firms' cash reserves rise in times of high aggregate volatility. At such times, credit line initiations fall, their spreads widen, and maturities shorten.
The Role of Liquidity When Capital Markets Collapse
In the fall of 2008, as the crisis started to engulf the economy, John Graham, Cam Harvey, and I sent out survey questionnaires to thousands of CFOs in 39 countries asking them about their corporate plans for the coming year.9 These data provided us uniquely forward-looking information about corporate liquidity management, and they revealed that managers thought of internal liquidity as a way to guard against a crash that was about to happen. We found that, in anticipation of a severe liquidity contraction, financially constrained firms put together plans to cut their cash stocks by as much as 15 percentage points, compared to only 2 percentage points, on average, among financially unconstrained firms. These planned cuts in liquidity were accompanied by other major changes. In particular, constrained firms reported plans to reduce employment (by 11 percent), technology spending (by 22 percent), capital investment (by 9 percent), as well as cash dividend payments (by 14 percent) in the year ahead. Financially unconstrained firms, in contrast, reported much milder changes in their planned policies for 2009. Notably, firms reported plans to resort to their bank credit facilities — drawing unprecedented amounts of cash from their lines — as a way to insulate against the effects of the crisis.
After gathering information on how access to funds modulated corporate plans during the crisis, Graham, Harvey, and I teamed up with Erasmo Giambona to assess how firms chose between different liquidity instruments.10 We used a new series of CFO surveys to gauge how firms' cash positions and cash flow impacted their access to credit lines and their plans with regard to saving. Pre-2008 cash positions proved to be of paramount importance. For firms coming into the crisis with healthy cash balances, cash flows had no bearing on their access to bank credit lines. Only the firms with low cash exhibited a positive correlation between operating cash flows and credit line access. Notably, firms with more cash had their investment plans boosted by greater access to credit lines. At the same time, lack of access to credit lines forced firms to choose between saving and investing. In the absence of pre-crisis savings, access to credit lines was crucial in allowing firms to invest and to survive in the years ahead. Our work extended to Europe, where bank-based economic systems made credit line access particularly important for corporate financing during the global downturn.11 These analyses show that corporate liquidity management should not be restricted to the study of corporate cash, and that credit lines can play a fundamental role in insuring firms’ access to liquidity in difficult times.
1. J. Graham and M. Leary, "The Evolution of Corporate Cash," Duke University Working Paper , April 2015. ↩
2. A. Sufi, "Bank Lines of Credit in Corporate Finance: An Empirical Analysis," Review of Financial Studies, 22(3), 2009, pp. 1057-88; and M. Campello, E. Giambona, J. Graham, and C. Harvey, "Liquidity Management and Corporate Investment during a Financial Crisis," NBER Working Paper No. 16309, August 2010, and Review of Financial Studies, 24(6), 2011, pp. 1944–79.↩
3. H. Almeida, M. Campello, and M. Weisbach, "Corporate Demand for Liquidity," NBER Working Paper No. 9253, October 2002, and Journal of Finance, 59(4), 2004, pp. 1777-1804 (published as "The Cash Flow Sensitivity of Cash."). ↩
4. See, for example, I. Khurana, X. Martin, and R. Pereira, "Financial Development and the Cash Flow Sensitivity of Cash," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 41(4), 2006, pp. 787-808. ↩
5.V. Acharya, H. Almeida, and M. Campello, "Is Cash Negative Debt? A Hedging Perspective on Corporate Financial Policies," NBER Working Paper No. 11391, June 2005, and Journal of Financial Intermediation, 16(4), 2007, pp. 515–54. ↩
6. K. Froot, D. Scharfstein, and J. Stein, "Risk Management: Coordinating Corporate Investment and Financing Policies," NBER Working Paper No. 4084, May 1992, and Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1993, pp. 1629-58. ↩
7. M. Campello, C. Lin, Y. Ma, and H. Zou, "The Real and Financial Implications of Corporate Hedging," NBER Working Paper No. 16622, December 2010, and Journal of Finance, 66(5), 2011, pp. 1615–47. ↩
8. V. Acharya, H. Almeida, and M. Campello, "Aggregate Risk and the Choice between Cash and Lines of Credit," NBER Working Paper No. 16122, June 2010, and Journal of Finance, 68(5), 2013, pp. 2059-2116. ↩
9. M. Campello, J. Graham, and C. Harvey, "The Real Effects of Financial Constraints: Evidence from a Financial Crisis," NBER Working Paper No. 15552, December 2009, and Journal of Financial Economics, 97(3), 2010, pp. 470-87. ↩
10. M. Campello, E. Giambona, J. Graham, and C. Harvey, "Liquidity Management and Corporate Investment during a Financial Crisis," NBER Working Paper No. 16309, August 2010, and Review of Financial Studies, 24(6), 2011, pp. 1944-79. ↩
11. M. Campello, E. Giambona, J. Graham, and C. Harvey, "Access to Liquidity and Corporate Investment in Europe During the Financial Crisis," Review of Finance, 16(2), 2012, pp. 323–46. ↩