TY - JOUR AU - Cutler,D. AU - Frank,R.G. AU - King,C.,III AU - Rosenthal,M.B. AU - Vigdor,E.R. AU - Epstein,A.M. AU - Hartman,R.S. AU - Newhouse,J.P. TI - How Good a Deal Was the Tobacco Settlement?: Assessing Payments to Massachusetts JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7747 PY - 2000 Y2 - June 2000 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7747 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7747.pdf N1 - Author contact info: David M. Cutler Department of Economics Harvard University 1875 Cambridge Street Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/496-5216 Fax: 617/496-8951 E-Mail: dcutler@harvard.edu AB - We estimate the increment in Massachusetts Medicaid program costs attributable to smoking from December 20, 1991, to 1998. We describe how our methods improve upon earlier estimates of analogous costs at the national level. Current costs to the Massachusetts Medicaid program approximate the payments to Massachusetts under the tobacco settlement of November 1998. Whether these payments are viewed as appropriate compensation for Medicaid costs over time depends upon the rate of increase in future health care costs, the rate of decline in smoking, the proportion of smoking that should be attributed to the actions of the tobacco companies and the liklihood that state would have prevailed at trial. The costs to the Medicaid program are dwarfed by the internal costs to smokers themselves. ER -