@techreport{NBERw7440, title = "Predictors of Mortality Among the Elderly", author = "Michael Hurd and Daniel McFadden and Angela Merrill", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "7440", year = "1999", month = "December", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w7440", abstract = {The objective of this paper is to find the quantitative importance of some predictors of mortality among the population aged 70 or over. The predictors are socio-economic indicators (income, wealth and education), thirteen health indicators including a history of heart attack or cancer, and subjective probabilities of survival. The estimation is based on mortality between waves 1 and 2 of the Asset and Health Dynamics among the Oldest-Old study. We find that the relationship between socio-economic indicators and mortality declines with age 13 health indicators are strong predictors of mortality and that the subjective survival probabilities predict mortality even after controlling for socio-economic indicators and the health conditions.}, }