TY - JOUR AU - Fullerton,Don AU - Hong,Inkee AU - Metcalf,Gilbert E. TI - A Tax on Output of the Polluting Industry is Not a Tax on Pollution: The Importance of Hitting the Target JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7259 PY - 1999 Y2 - July 1999 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7259 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7259.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Don Fullerton Department of Finance University of Illinois BIF Box#30 (MC520) 515 East Gregory Drive Champaign, IL 61820 Tel: 217/244-3621 Fax: 217/244-3102 E-Mail: dfullert@illinois.edu Inkee Hong E-Mail: ihong@eco.utexas.edu Gilbert E. Metcalf Department of Economics Tufts University Medford, MA 02155 1500 Pennsylvania Ave., NW Tel: 617/627-3685 Fax: 617/627-3917 E-Mail: gilbert.metcalf@tufts.edu M1 - published as Don Fullerton, Inkee Hong, Gilbert E. Metcalf. "A Tax on Output of the Polluting Industry Is Not a Tax on Pollution: The Importance of Hitting the Target," in Carlo Carraro and Gilbert E. Metcalf, editors, "Behavioral and Distributional Effects of Environmental Policy" University of Chicago Press (2001) AB - We explore the effects of environmental taxes that imprecisely target pollution. A review of actual policies indicates few (if any) examples of a true tax on pollution. More typically, environmental taxes target an input or output that is correlated with pollution. We construct a simple analytical general equilibrium model to calculate the optimum tax rate on the input of the polluting industry, in terms of key behavioral parameters, and we compare this imprecisely-targeted tax to an ideal tax on pollution. Finally, we consider incremental tax reforms such as a change in either tax from some pre-existing level. Using a utility-based money-metric measure of welfare, we examine the losses that arise from not taxing pollution directly. With no existing tax, under our plausible parameters, the welfare gain from an output tax is less that half the gain from an emissions tax. ER -