NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

International Trade and Structural Change

Dan Ben-David, David H. Papell

NBER Working Paper No. 6096
Issued in July 1997
NBER Program(s):   ITI

In light of the substantial movement towards trade liberalization during the postwar period, this paper attempts to determine if, and when, countries experienced statistically significant changes in the paths of their export-GDP and import-GDP ratios. We find that: (1) most trade ratios exhibited a" structural break in their time paths; (2) postbreak trade exceeded prebreak trade for the majority of countries; (3) the coincidence in timing between the import and export breaks does not appear to be particularly strong, and; (4) there is little relation between the extent of changes in imports and the extent of changes in exports for most countries.

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w6096

Published: Journal of International Economics, vol. 43, December 1997, pp. 513-23.

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