TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kremer,Michael
TI  - Integrating Behavioral Choice into Epidemiological Models of the AIDS Epidemic
JF  - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series
VL  - No. 5428
PY  - 1996
Y2  - January 1996
UR  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5428
L1  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5428.pdf
N1  - Author contact info:
Michael Kremer
Harvard University
Department of Economics
Littauer Center M20
Cambridge, MA 02138
Tel: 617/495-9145
Fax: 617/495-7730
E-Mail: mkremer@fas.harvard.edu
AB  - Increased HIV risk creates incentives for people with low sexual activity to reduce their activity, but may make high-activity people fatalistic, leading them to reduce their activity only slightly, or actually increase it.  If high-activity people reduce their activity by a smaller proportion than low-activity people, the composition of the pool of available partners will worsen, creating positive feedbacks, and possibly multiple steady state levels of prevalence. The timing of public health efforts may affect long-run HIV prevalence.
ER  -