AI and the Quantity and Usage of Creative Products: Have LLMs Boosted Creation of Valuable Books?
Working Paper 34777
DOI 10.3386/w34777
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Monthly book releases tripled from 2022 to late 2025 as LLMs diffused. While average book usage and quality – ratings received, sales ranks, and average star ratings – worsened, the surge in releases raised the number of modestly used books. AI-containing books are less used, and their rising share – topping half of 2025 releases – drives the overall decline. A nested logit calibration shows that AI books raised consumer surplus only modestly. Author selection accounts for most of the AI usage differential, and previously active authors have increased their releases in the LLM era while maintaining stable non-AI output.
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Copy CitationImke Reimers and Joel Waldfogel, "AI and the Quantity and Usage of Creative Products: Have LLMs Boosted Creation of Valuable Books?," NBER Working Paper 34777 (2026), https://doi.org/10.3386/w34777.Download Citation
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Non-Technical Summaries
- The rapid diffusion of large language models (LLMs) since late 2022 has transformed book publishing, with the rate of new e-book releases...