The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update
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NBER Working Paper No. 2222 (Also Reprint No. r1181)
Issued in May 1989
NBER Program(s): EFG
In previous work I have developed an equation explaining votes for president in the United States that seems to have a remarkable predictive ability. In this paper the equation is updated through the 1984 election and then used to predict the 1988 election.
Published: Political Behavior, Vol. 10, No. 2, pp. 168-179, (1988).
This paper is available as PDF (103 K) or DjVu (79 K) (Download viewer) or via email.
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