The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update
NBER Working Paper No. 2222 (Also Reprint No. r1181)
In previous work I have developed an equation explaining votes for president in the United States that seems to have a remarkable predictive ability. In this paper the equation is updated through the 1984 election and then used to predict the 1988 election.
Published: Political Behavior, Vol. 10, No. 2, pp. 168-179, (1988).