An Intertemporal CAPM with Stochastic Volatility
NBER Working Paper No. 18411
This paper extends the approximate closed-form intertemporal capital asset pricing model of Campbell (1993) to allow for stochastic volatility. The return on the aggregate stock market is modeled as one element of a vector autoregressive (VAR) system, and the volatility of all shocks to the VAR is another element of the system. Our estimates of this VAR reveal novel low-frequency movements in market volatility tied to the default spread. We show that growth stocks underperform value stocks because they hedge two types of deterioration in investment opportunities: declining expected stock returns, and increasing volatility.
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A data appendix is available at http://www.nber.org/data-appendix/w18411
This paper was revised on July 16, 2013
Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w18411
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