Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude
NBER Working Paper No. 16207
---- Acknowledgements -----
This research was supported in part by National Science Foundation grant SES-0911181. I am grateful for comments on aspects of this work from Joel Horowitz, Francesca Molinari, Daniel Nagin, and James Poterba. The views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research.