NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude

Charles F. Manski

NBER Working Paper No. 16207
Issued in July 2010

---- Acknowledgements -----

This research was supported in part by National Science Foundation grant SES-0911181. I am grateful for comments on aspects of this work from Joel Horowitz, Francesca Molinari, Daniel Nagin, and James Poterba. The views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research.

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