TY - JOUR AU - Goda,Gopi Shah AU - Golberstein,Ezra AU - Grabowski,David C. TI - Income and the Utilization of Long-Term Care Services: Evidence from the Social Security Benefit Notch JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 16076 PY - 2010 Y2 - June 2010 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w16076 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w16076.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Gopi Shah Goda Stanford University SIEPR 366 Galvez St. Stanford, CA 94305 Tel: 650/736-0480 Fax: 650/723-8611 E-Mail: gopi@stanford.edu Ezra Golberstein Division of Health Policy and Management University of Minnesota School of Public Health 420 Delaware St. SE, MMC 729 Minneapolis, MN 55455 E-Mail: egolber@umn.edu David Grabowski Harvard University Department of Health Care Policy Harvard Medical School 180 Longwood Avenue Boston, MA 02115 E-Mail: grabowski@med.harvard.edu AB - This paper estimates the impact of income on the long-term care utilization of elderly Americans using a natural experiment that led otherwise similar retirees to receive significantly different Social Security payments based on their year of birth. Using data from the 1993 and 1995 waves of the AHEAD, we estimate instrumental variables models and find that a positive permanent income shock lowers nursing home use but increases the utilization of paid home care services. We find some suggestive evidence that the effects are due to substitution of home care for nursing home utilization. The magnitude of these estimates suggests that moderate reductions in post-retirement income would significantly alter long-term utilization patterns among elderly individuals. ER -