TY - JOUR AU - Lagos,Ricardo AU - Rocheteau,Guillaume AU - Weill,Pierre-Olivier TI - Crises and Liquidity in Over-the-Counter Markets JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15414 PY - 2009 Y2 - October 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15414 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15414.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Ricardo Lagos Department of Economics New York University 19 West Fourth Street New York, NY 10014 Tel: 212/998-8937 E-Mail: ricardo.lagos@nyu.edu Guillaume Rocheteau Department of Economics University of California at Irvine 3151 Social Science Plaza Irvine, California 9269 E-Mail: grochete@uci.edu Pierre-Olivier Weill Department of Economics University of California, Los Angeles Bunche Hall 8283 Los Angeles, CA 90095 Tel: 310/794-6495 Fax: 310/825-9528 E-Mail: poweill@econ.ucla.edu AB - We study the efficiency of dealers’ liquidity provision and the desirability of policy intervention in over-the-counter (OTC) markets during crises. Our theory emphasizes two key frictions in OTC markets: finding counterparties takes time, and trade is bilateral, with quantities and prices determined by bargaining. We model a crisis as a negative shock to investors’ asset demands that lasts until a random recovery time. In this context, dealers can provide liquidity to outside investors by acting as counterparties in trades and by accumulating asset inventories. We find that, when frictions are severe, even well capitalized dealers may not find it optimal to accumulate inventories, given that investors choose asset positions that require small reallocations. In such circumstances, the market allocative efficiency can increase if the government steps in, purchases private assets on its own account, and resells them when the economy recovers. ER -