TY - JOUR AU - Guerrieri,Veronica AU - Kondor,Péter TI - Fund Managers, Career Concerns, and Asset Price Volatility JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14898 PY - 2009 Y2 - April 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14898 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14898.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Veronica Guerrieri University of Chicago Booth School of Business 5807 South Woodlawn Avenue Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/834-7834 Fax: 773/702-0458 E-Mail: vguerrie@chicagobooth.edu Peter Kondor Central European University Department of Economics Nador u. 9. Budapest, H-1051 Hungary Tel: 773/702-8453 Fax: 773/702-0458 E-Mail: kondorp@ceu.hu AB - We propose a model where investors hire fund managers to invest either in risky bonds or in riskless assets. Some managers have superior information on the default probability. Looking at the past performance, investors update beliefs on their managers and make firing decisions. This leads to career concerns which affect investment decisions, generating a positive or negative "reputational premium". For example, when the default probability is high, uninformed managers prefer to invest in riskless assets to reduce the probability of being fired. As the economic and financial conditions change, the reputational premium amplifies the reaction of prices and capital flows. ER -