@techreport{NBERw14484, title = "Luddites and the Demographic Transition", author = "Kevin H. O'Rourke and Ahmed S. Rahman and Alan M. Taylor", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "14484", year = "2008", month = "November", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w14484", abstract = {Technological change was unskilled-labor-biased during the early Industrial Revolution, but is skill-biased today. This is not embedded in extant unified growth models. We develop a model which can endogenously account for these facts, where factor bias reflects profit-maximizing decisions by innovators. Endowments dictate that the early Industrial Revolution be unskilled-labor-biased. Increasing basic knowledge causes a growth takeoff, an income-led demand for fewer educated children, and the transition to skill-biased technological change. The simulated model tracks British industrialization in the 18th and 19th centuries and generates a demographic transition without relying on either rising skill premia or exogenous educational supply shocks.}, }